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Worked solution

Translate left-handedness counts into binomial probabilities

In a particular large population, 15% of people are left-handed and the rest are right-handed. Twelve people are selected at random. Find the probability that (i) exactly 2 are left-handed, (ii) at most 3 are left-handed, (iii) more than 4 are left-handed, (iv) at least 7 are not left-handed, and (v) there are between 3 and 9 left-handed people.

CJC · Lecture · Example 2

State the count and model

Let X count the left-handed people among the 12 selected. Use X∼B(12,0.15)X\sim B(12,0.15). The source lists all four conditions: 12 repeated trials; left-handed/not-left-handed categories; constant success probability 0.15; and independence of each person’s handedness in the sampling model. For sampling without replacement from a large finite population, this independence is an approximation justified when the sample is negligible relative to the population; random selection alone does not make arbitrary samples independent.

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(i) Formula method: exactly two

P(X=2)=(122)(0.15)2(0.85)10=0.292P(X=2)=\binom{12}2(0.15)^2(0.85)^{10}=0.292 to 3 significant figures.

How did this part go?

(i) Calculator method: binompdf

  1. Press MODE and set STAT WIZARDS: ON to activate the statistics input wizard. 2. Press 2nd, VARS; select A:binompdf( and ENTER. The source expands the name as binomial probability distribution function; here it computes one probability mass. 3. Enter trials:12, p:0.15, x value:2, highlight Paste, then ENTER. 4. Press ENTER again. The home screen shows binompdf(12,0.15,2) with output 0.2923584904, hence 0.292 to 3 significant figures.
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(ii) Formula method: at most three

P(X≤3)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)P(X\le3)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3). Retain all four source terms: (120)(0.15)0(0.85)12+(121)(0.15)1(0.85)11+(122)(0.15)2(0.85)10+(123)(0.15)3(0.85)9=0.908\binom{12}0(0.15)^0(0.85)^{12}+\binom{12}1(0.15)^1(0.85)^{11}+\binom{12}2(0.15)^2(0.85)^{10}+\binom{12}3(0.15)^3(0.85)^9=0.908 to 3 significant figures.

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(ii) Calculator method: binomcdf

  1. Press 2nd, VARS; select B:binomcdf( and ENTER. The command name means binomial cumulative distribution function and computes P(X≤x)P(X\le x). 2. Enter trials:12, p:0.15, x value:3, choose Paste, then ENTER. 3. Press ENTER again. The source home screen is binomcdf(12,.15,3) with output 0.9077936688, hence 0.908 to 3 significant figures.
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(iii) More than four

P(X>4)=1−P(X≤4)=0.0239P(X>4)=1-P(X\le4)=0.0239 to 3 significant figures. Subtract the cumulative probability at 4, not at 3.

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(iv) At least seven are not left-handed

Twelve minus X is the number who are not left-handed. Thus 12−X≥712-X\ge7 means X≤5X\le5. The required probability is P(X≤5)=0.995P(X\le5)=0.995 to 3 significant figures.

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(v) Between three and nine

The source explicitly uses strict endpoints: P(3<X<9)=P(X≤8)−P(X≤3)=0.0922P(3<X<9)=P(X\le8)-P(X\le3)=0.0922 to 3 significant figures. Its later remark says “between” excludes the endpoints; retain this convention for this question, but use an explicitly stated inequality when another problem specifies inclusive endpoints.

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Compare your sketch

Calculate a binomial probability

  1. 1. Turn on the statistics wizard

    Press MODE and set STAT WIZARDS to ON. Press 2nd, then VARS, to open DISTR.

  2. 2. Find the probability of exactly two

    Select A:binompdf(. Enter the three fields, choose Paste, then press ENTER.

    trials
    12
    p
    0.15
    x value
    2

    binompdf(12,0.15,2) ≈ 0.2923584904

  3. 3. Find the probability of at most three

    Return to DISTR and select B:binomcdf(. Choose Paste, then press ENTER.

    trials
    12
    p
    0.15
    x value
    3

    binomcdf(12,0.15,3) ≈ 0.9077936688

For this discrete model, binompdf gives one probability mass P(X = x); binomcdf gives P(X ≤ x), including the entered endpoint. Translate the event before choosing a command. Menu labels follow the retained source calculator.

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Seven focused calculator screen reconstructions from PDF 6–7: STAT WIZARDS ON; DISTR menu and binompdf wizard with trials 12,p.15,x2; output.2923584904; binomcdf menu/wizard with trials 12,p.15,x3; output.9077936688. Irrelevant MODE settings and decorative status/battery chrome omitted; all meaningful inputs, menu choices and results retained.
Seven focused calculator screen reconstructions from PDF 6–7: STAT WIZARDS ON; DISTR menu and binompdf wizard with trials 12,p.15,x2; output.2923584904; binomcdf menu/wizard with trials 12,p.15,x3; output.9077936688. Irrelevant MODE settings and decorative status/battery chrome omitted; all meaningful inputs, menu choices and results retained.
Seven focused calculator screen reconstructions from PDF 6–7: STAT WIZARDS ON; DISTR menu and binompdf wizard with trials 12,p.15,x2; output.2923584904; binomcdf menu/wizard with trials 12,p.15,x3; output.9077936688. Irrelevant MODE settings and decorative status/battery chrome omitted; all meaningful inputs, menu choices and results retained.
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Translate the words into an integer event before choosing a calculator command.

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