Worked solution
Use a unique mode to bound p, then sketch a different distribution
Five people are sampled from a large village. (i) X counts those who are underweight; state in context an assumption needed for a binomial model. (ii) The village proportion underweight is p, and the mode of X is 2. Show that . (iii) Given instead , sketch its distribution.
[2017/DHS/II/9(modified)]
CJC · Lecture · Example 11
(i) State a contextual assumption
The source accepts either: the probability that a chosen person is underweight remains constant throughout the sample, or whether a chosen person is underweight is independent of whether other people are underweight. The full binomial model needs both constant p and independent trials; this part asks for one assumption in context.
(ii) Compare the mass at one with the mass at two
The strict bounds requested by the source interpret 2 as the unique mode. Then , so . A mode at 2 rules out p=0 or p=1; therefore and . Cancel positive factors to obtain , hence .
(ii) Compare the mass at two with the mass at three
Also , giving . Cancel positive factors to get , hence . This is the distinct Teacher completion. Together , as required. If 2 were merely one of possibly tied modes, the endpoints would be included: at p=1/3 modes 1 and 2 tie, and at p=1/2 modes 2 and 3 tie.
(iii) Sketch the six probability masses
This part gives a different parameter p=0.25; do not carry the range from (ii) into it. Use Y1=binompdf(5,0.25,X) and its table. The exact masses are
| x | |
|---|---|
| 0 | |
| 1 | |
| 2 | |
| 3 | |
| 4 | |
| 5 |
Plot separate points/crosses at 0 through 5. The source labels the first five heights approximately 0.237,0.396,0.264,0.0879,0.0146. Its final label (5,0) is inaccurate: , consistent with the source calculator’s 9.8E−4. The native sketch corrects this positive final mass; the original printed plot and text remain in source evidence. The mode of this new distribution is 1.
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Common mistakes
Strict mode bounds assume a unique mode; a very small probability is still positive.