Porisma

Worked solution

Compare linear and squared-speed models of drag

A car is placed in a wind tunnel. Drag force FF at different speeds vv, in appropriate units, is recorded:

vvFF
00
42.5
85.1
128.8
1611.2
2013.6
2417.6
2822.0
3227.8
3633.9

(i) Draw the scatter diagram, labelling the axes clearly.

It is thought that FF can be modelled by F=a+bvF=a+bv or F=c+dv2F=c+dv^2.

(ii) Find, to 4 decimal places, the correlation coefficient between (a) vv and FF, and (b) v2v^2 and FF.

(iii) Use (i) and (ii) to explain which model is better.

(iv) Estimate vv when F=26.0F=26.0. Find a suitable regression line, use it for the estimate, and explain why neither regression of vv on FF nor of v2v^2 on FF should be used.

[N10/II/10]

CJC · Lecture · Example 11

(i) Plot speed as the explanatory input

Answer

The ten observations rise with upward curvature.

The source puts vv in L1 and FF in L2, and labels axes with extrema 0,36 and 0,33.9. Preserve the origin observation as well as the other nine points. The increasing steepness suggests examining a transformed model, rather than choosing a line from correlation alone.

How did this part go?

(ii)(a) Correlate speed and force

Answer

rv,F=0.9860r_{v,F}=0.9860 (4 d.p.).

Use 8:LinReg(a+bx) with Xlist=L1, Ylist=L2. The source screen gives intercept −1.990909091-1.990909091, slope 0.90227272730.9022727273, r2=0.9722440983r^2=0.9722440983 and r=0.9860243903r=0.9860243903. Retain four decimal places as requested, including the trailing zero.

How did this part go?

(ii)(b) Generate squared speeds

Answer

rv2,F=0.9907r_{v^2,F}=0.9907 (4 d.p.).

Highlight L3, press ENTER, enter L3=L1², then ENTER. The source displays squared inputs 0,16,64,144,256,400,576,784,1024,12960,16,64,144,256,400,576,784,1024,1296. Use Xlist=L3, Ylist=L2: calculator x represents v2v^2, calculator y represents FF.

The printed output is a=3.195652174a=3.195652174, b=0.0242419908b=0.0242419908, r2=0.9814487724r^2=0.9814487724, r=0.990680964r=0.990680964. Hence r=0.9907r=0.9907 to 4 d.p.

How did this part go?

(iii) Combine the scatter and coefficients

Answer

F=c+dv2F=c+dv^2 is the better of the two proposed sample models.

The source observes that drag increases at an increasing rate, and the squared-speed correlation is closer to 1 than the original-speed correlation. Both the curvature and the transformed coefficient favour the quadratic candidate. This comparison does not assert that the fitted intercept is a physically exact zero-speed drag law or establish validity beyond the measured range.

How did this part go?

(iv) Solve the fitted response model for speed

Answer

v=30.7v=30.7 (3 s.f.).

Speed is the prescribed explanatory variable in this wind-tunnel model, so fit force as the response to v2v^2 and solve that model backwards:

F=3.195652174+0.0242419908v2.\begin{aligned}&F\\ & =3.195652174\\ &{}+0.0242419908v^2.\end{aligned}

v=26−3.1956521740.0242419908.\begin{aligned}&v\\ & =\sqrt{\frac{26-3.195652174}{0.0242419908}}.\end{aligned}

v=30.6707705…≈30.7.v=30.6707705\ldots\approx30.7.

The source prints F=3.19565+0.0242199v2F=3.19565+0.0242199v^2 in the final substitution, while its preceding calculator screen gives 0.02424199080.0242419908. The final printed slope omits a digit; use the full screen coefficient, preserving this discrepancy in review. Both produce the printed final 30.730.7 after 3-s.f. rounding. Reject the negative root because speed is nonnegative.

The blank explanation is completed from the source’s modelling convention: regressions of vv on FF or v2v^2 on FF minimise a different response error and would change the prescribed explanatory role. They are not the calibration of the fitted force model requested here.

How did this part go?

Compare your sketch

Expand diagram

Use the scrollbars or arrow keys to inspect details.

All ten exact pairs: speeds 0,4,8,12,16,20,24,28,32,36 with drag 0,2.5,5.1,8.8,11.2,13.6,17.6,22,27.8,33.9. Both axes start at zero; the scatter rises with upward curvature and includes the point at the origin.
All ten exact pairs: speeds 0,4,8,12,16,20,24,28,32,36 with drag 0,2.5,5.1,8.8,11.2,13.6,17.6,22,27.8,33.9. Both axes start at zero; the scatter rises with upward curvature and includes the point at the origin.
All ten exact pairs: speeds 0,4,8,12,16,20,24,28,32,36 with drag 0,2.5,5.1,8.8,11.2,13.6,17.6,22,27.8,33.9. Both axes start at zero; the scatter rises with upward curvature and includes the point at the origin.

Solution notes

All ten pairs, five printed asks, original scatter, squared list, both complete regression screens and final calibration retained. The final printed squared-speed slope differs from its screen; screen coefficient used and discrepancy explicit. Explanatory-role argument is authored for the blank source explanation. No printed marks.