Worked solution
A lower-tail test at the 1% level
A random variable is known to have a normal distribution with variance 36. The mean of the distribution of is denoted by . A random sample of 50 observations of has mean 20.2. Test, at the 1% level of significance, the null hypothesis against .
CJC · Lecture · Example 1
Set up the exact null distribution
Test against , where is the population mean. Under , and . The known standard deviation is 6. The teacher strategy recommends the p-value approach because all required summary data are available.
Calculate by a normal tail or Z-Test
. The lower-tail probability is . The source’s alternative calculator route is STAT → TESTS → Z-Test → Stats: enter , , , , select , then Calculate. Its screen reports , ; that slightly different last-digit value is preserved here, while the independent CDF calculation agrees to the printed 0.0169.
Conclude at the requested level
Reject when . Since , do not reject . There is insufficient evidence at the 1% level that the population mean is below 22. A result that would be significant at 5% need not be significant at 1%.
Common mistakes
Use standard deviation 6, not variance 36, in the Z-Test input. The requested level is 1%, not 5%.
Solution notes
Teacher strategy, complete conclusion and calculator inputs/output were visually compared with PDF 14–15 (printed 81–82). The population distribution is a null model; writing N(22,36) is conditional on H₀.