Porisma

Worked solution

Decide whether an interval is central

The heights of male CJCians are normally distributed with mean 169 cm and standard deviation 8 cm. Given that 20% have a height between 160 cm and dd cm, with d>160d>160, find d. Can we use invNorm(p,μ,σ,CENTER)?

CJC · Lecture · Pause and think

Add the interval area to the lower cumulative area

Let H∼N(169,82)H\sim N(169,8^2). The lower bound 160 is fixed. First find

P(H<160)≈0.1302945171.P(H<160)\approx 0.1302945171.

Because d>160d>160 and P(160<H<d)=0.2P(160<H<d)=0.2,

P(H<d)=P(H<160)+0.2≈0.3302945171.\begin{aligned}&P(H<d)\\ & =P(H<160)\\ &{}+0.2\approx 0.3302945171.\end{aligned}

Use normalcdf(−10^99,160,169,8) to obtain the first area, keep that full result and add 0.2. Then use invNorm(0.3302945171,169,8,LEFT) to obtain d≈165.4871995d\approx 165.4871995 cm, or 165 cm\boxed{165\text{ cm}} (3 s.f.). The decimal 165.487 cm is included to show the interval’s position; the source does not prescribe a rounding instruction for this prompt.

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Explain why CENTER is unsuitable

No. A central interval with lower bound 160 and mean 169 would have upper bound 178 by symmetry. That interval’s area is not 0.2. In the required solution, both 160 and d≈165.487 lie below the mean 169, so the interval is asymmetric.

Use the sketch to check the given area, rather than assuming that any interval probability is central. The source prints “169 am”; this is a unit typo, interpreted as 169 cm in its height context. The printed prompt has no worked answer; the cumulative-area solution here is authored to complete the question.

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Compare your sketch

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Height mean 169 cm and standard deviation 8 cm. Lower bound 160 cm has cumulative probability approximately 0.1302945. Adding interval area 0.2 gives cumulative probability 0.3302945 at d≈165.4872 cm. Both bounds are below 169, so the interval is not central.
Height mean 169 cm and standard deviation 8 cm. Lower bound 160 cm has cumulative probability approximately 0.1302945. Adding interval area 0.2 gives cumulative probability 0.3302945 at d≈165.4872 cm. Both bounds are below 169, so the interval is not central.
Height mean 169 cm and standard deviation 8 cm. Lower bound 160 cm has cumulative probability approximately 0.1302945. Adding interval area 0.2 gives cumulative probability 0.3302945 at d≈165.4872 cm. Both bounds are below 169, so the interval is not central.

Common mistakes

An interval with a specified lower endpoint is not automatically centred on the mean. CENTER would impose equal tail areas that this question does not give. Retain the lower cumulative probability before adding 0.2.

Read the hint