Porisma

A hint to get started

Derive a cookie success rate and compare two minimum-packet methods

Temasek Bakery produces a large number of “lucky” cookies during the festive season. p%p\% of these cookies contains a winning slip. The cookies are sold by packets. Each packet consists of 8 randomly chosen cookies and the mean number of cookies with a winning slip per packet is 3.2.

(i) Find the probability that a randomly chosen packet contains at most 4 cookies with a winning slip. marks

(ii) Anand buys 12 packets of cookies. Find the probability that there are more than 10 packets that contain at most 4 cookies with a winning slip. marks

(iii) Beng decides to buy nn packets of cookies. Find the least value of nn such that the probability that there is at least one packet that contain exactly 4 cookies with a winning slip is more than 0.90. marks

[2017/TJC/MYE/II/5]

CJC · Review Problems · Question 10

The success event is at most four in (i)/(ii), but exactly four in (iii).

Read the worked solution