Worked solution
Compare a signed dice difference with its absolute value
A fair die is thrown once and is its score. Calculate and show that . The die is thrown twice, with scores . Tabulate the distribution of and find . Let . State with reasons, without necessarily evaluating the quantities, whether (a) and (b) .
[J1978/II/12(modified)]
CJC · Lecture · Example 15
Find the mean of one die
The source die law is
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
. Alternatively symmetry gives . The Teacher guidance places the main emphasis on the distribution of Y onwards.
Show the one-die variance
. Hence , as required.
Build the complete absolute-difference table
Use the source model of independent fair throws: every ordered pair in the six-by-six table has the same probability , as emphasized in the Teacher note. Rows are and columns ; each cell is .
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Group the equal cell values:
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Average the absolute difference
.
(a) Compare the squares before taking expectations
and . They are equal for every outcome, so . The answer is yes.
(b) Compare the means in the variance formulas
, while . Thus their means differ. Now and . The second moments are equal by (a), but the subtracted squared means differ. Hence the variances are not equal; in fact (direction made explicit from the source argument).
Common mistakes
Absolute value changes the distribution and mean but not the squared variable. Do not treat Y as the signed difference. Fairness of each throw alone does not establish the independent-roll model used for the 36 equally likely cells.