Worked solution
Approximate mean daily wine production
A vineyard produces an average of 400 barrels of wine per day, with standard deviation 70.
(a) For a random sample of 50 days’ production, is normally distributed? Explain briefly and state its mean and variance.
(b) Find the probability that the sample mean is more than 380.
CJC · Lecture · Example 8
(a) Exact moments, approximate shape
Let be the number of barrels produced in one day. The individual distribution is not given as normal. With independent identically distributed daily observations, and exactly. The source uses by CLT for ; normality is approximate, not established as exact.
(b) Upper-tail calculation
Using that approximation, Correlated days or a changing production process would require a different variance/model.
Common mistakes
70 is the population standard deviation; 98 is the sample-mean variance, not its standard deviation.