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Distinguish a sample count from the position of a final success

Rose and Violet contest each other for the post of President of the Student Council of Floral Junior College. A pre-election survey indicates that Rose has the support of 45% of the school population while Violet has the support of the remaining students.

(i) Find the probability that Rose has fewer than 12 supporters in a group of 30 randomly selected students. marks

(ii) If the students are asked to queue up to cast their votes one at a time, find the probability that the 16th student is the 10th student who votes for Violet. marks

[2010/DHS/BT2/12(a)]

CJC · Review Problems · Question 3

Fix the last voter separately; the preceding 15 supply only nine of the ten Violet votes.

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