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Derive and calibrate a logistic population model

A town has population 30003000. The number infected after tt days satisfies dI/dt=kI(3000−I)dI/dt=kI(3000-I), k>0k>0.

(i) Given I(0)=30I(0)=30, show I=3000/(1+99e−3000kt)I=3000/(1+99e^{-3000kt}). marks

(ii) Given I(7)=240I(7)=240, find when 90%90\% of the population is infected. marks

(iii) State one contextual assumption needed for the model. mark

[2013/JJC/II/2]

CJC · Review problems · Question 6

Keep the population scale 3000 in the exponent when integrating the partial fractions.

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