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Worked solution

Test a revision-time claim and find a minimum sample size

A teacher claims that the average time a student spends on mathematics revision per day is 120 minutes. A random sample of 150 students is observed and the time, xx min, that each student spends on mathematics revision per day noted. It is found that

∑(x−120)=−1500,∑(x−120)2=462 000.\sum(x-120)=-1500,\qquad\sum(x-120)^2=462\,000.

(i) Test, at the 1% level of significance, whether the teacher has overstated the average time spent on mathematics revision per day by a student. marks

(ii) Using the unbiased estimate of the population variance in (i), what is the least number of students that is required in a sample whose mean is 110 hours to arrive at a different conclusion from that in part (i)? marks

[2009/NYJC/II/7(a)(modified)]

CJC · Review problems · Question 1

Answer

xˉ=110\bar x=110 min, s2=3000s^2=3000; z=−2.2361z=-2.2361, p=0.0127p=0.0127: do not reject at 1%. Intended part (ii), with 110 minutes: minimum n=163n=163.

(i) Estimate the mean and variance

xˉ=120−1500/150=110\bar x=120-1500/150=110 minutes. The unbiased variance estimate is s2=462000−(−1500)2/150149=3000 min2.\begin{aligned}&s^2\\ & =\frac{462000-(-1500)^2/150}{149}\\ & =3000\ \mathrm{min}^2.\end{aligned}

How did this part go?

(i) Hypotheses and p-value method

Let μ\mu be the population mean daily revision time in minutes. Test H0:μ=120H_0:\mu=120 against H1:μ<120H_1:\mu<120. With the large random sample, under H0H_0, Xˉ≈N(120,3000/150)\bar X\approx N(120,3000/150) by the CLT, using the estimated variance. Thus z=110−1203000/150=−2.236067977.\begin{aligned}&z\\ & =\frac{110-120}{\sqrt{3000/150}}\\ & =-2.236067977.\end{aligned} The left-tail p-value is 0.0126736593≈0.0127>0.010.0126736593\approx 0.0127>0.01. Do not reject H0H_0: there is insufficient evidence at 1% that the teacher overstated the mean. The source calculator workflow is Z-Test, Stats, null mean 120, estimated standard deviation 3000=54.77225575\sqrt{3000}=54.77225575, sample mean 110, n 150, alternative less-than; it displays z≈−2.236067977 and p≈.0126736174.

How did this part go?

(i) Critical-value method

The 1% lower-tail critical value is −2.326347874-2.326347874. Reject when z≤−2.326347874z\le-2.326347874. Since −2.236067977-2.236067977 is to the right of this boundary, the same non-rejection conclusion follows. The comparison diagram shades the 1% rejection tail.

How did this part go?

(ii) Interpret the inconsistent unit before solving

The printed “110 hours” conflicts with all the minute-based data and the source working. To reproduce the intended question, take the new mean to be 110 minutes and retain the 1% level and s2=3000s^2=3000. Rejection requires −103000/n≤−2.326347874.\frac{-10}{\sqrt{3000/n}}\le-2.326347874. Therefore n≥30(2.326347874)2=162.3568329n\ge 30(2.326347874)^2=162.3568329, so the least integer is 163163. At n 162, p≈.01007; at n 163, p≈.00988, straddling .01. If 110 hours were literal, the mean would be 6600 minutes and could never reject in this lower-tail direction;163 is conditional on the intended minute unit.

How did this part go?

Compare your sketch

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Revision time: 1% lower-tail test: standard normal, left-tail rejection region, critical magnitude 2.32635, total shaded probability 0.01. Observed statistic -2.23607.
Revision time: 1% lower-tail test: standard normal, left-tail rejection region, critical magnitude 2.32635, total shaded probability 0.01. Observed statistic -2.23607.
Revision time: 1% lower-tail test: standard normal, left-tail rejection region, critical magnitude 2.32635, total shaded probability 0.01. Observed statistic -2.23607.

Common mistakes

Do not silently convert a printed unit error into a different test. The source result 163 assumes 110 minutes, not 110 hours.

Solution notes

Printed question (ii) says 110 hours; intended unit is minutes, as shown by its working. Source statistic numerator says Xbar−300 rather than Xbar−120; source critical-method headings say 10% although the tail, critical value and requested test are 1%. These slips are recorded rather than propagated. Source n-bound 162.35 uses rounded critical values.

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