Compare profit per output barrel
In a petroleum refinery, 2 types of petrol: regular and premium, are obtained by blending naphtha and reformed gasoline in a certain ratio.
The refinery processes 900 barrels of naphtha and 700 barrels of reformed gasoline daily, with no left-over for both naphtha and reformed gasoline. These barrels of oil will either undergo Process 1 to obtain regular petrol or Process 2 to obtain premium petrol.
Process 1: 6 barrels of naphtha and 8 barrels of reformed gasoline are refined to produce 12 barrels of regular petrol.
Process 2: 10 barrels of naphtha and 5 barrels of reformed gasoline are refined to produce 10 barrels of premium petrol.
Using the information above, show that the number of barrels of regular petrol produced daily is 600.
The cost of oil is as follows:
| Oil | Naphtha | Gasoline | Regular Petrol | Premium Petrol |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost / barrel | 130 dollars | 100 dollars | 250 dollars | 280 dollars |
The company’s engineer, Simon, pointed out that the profit earned from sales of premium petrol is lower than that of regular oil. Hence, he suggested that the price of premium petrol should be adjusted to ensure that selling both petrol is equally profitable.
(i) Showing your working clearly, justify that it is more profitable to sell one barrel of regular petrol than selling one barrel of premium petrol. marks
(ii) What should be the new price of the premium petrol to ensure that it is equally profitable to sell it, compared to selling regular petrol? marks
(iii) Explain whether the company will adopt Simon’s suggestion of a price adjustment. marks
[2009/VJC/J1MCT/3]
Solution
Linear modelling
A refinery processes 900 barrels of naphtha and 700 barrels of reformed gasoline daily, with none left over. Process 1: 6 barrels of naphtha and 8 of gasoline produce 12 barrels of regular petrol. Process 2: 10 barrels of naphtha and 5 of gasoline produce 10 barrels of premium petrol. Show that the number of barrels of regular petrol produced daily is 600.
Hint
Let and be the barrels of regular and premium petrol produced daily.
Naphtha used per barrel of each product: and . Gasoline: and .
Total naphtha is 900 and total gasoline 700.
Convert each process to inputs per barrel of output: divide by 12 and by 10.
Answer · Q
600 barrels of regular petrol (and 600 premium).
Naphtha
Process 1 uses 6 barrels of naphtha per 12 barrels of regular petrol, i.e. 0.5 per barrel; Process 2 uses 1 per barrel of premium.
Gasoline
Similarly 8 per 12 barrels is per barrel of regular, and 5 per 10 is per barrel of premium.
Solve
Double the second equation: . Subtract the first: , so . Then .
Explore the idea
Profit per unit
The cost of oil is: naphtha 130 dollars/barrel, gasoline 100 dollars/barrel. Regular petrol sells at 250 dollars/barrel and premium at 280 dollars/barrel. Show, with working, that it is more profitable to sell one barrel of regular petrol than one barrel of premium petrol.
Hint
Cost per barrel of product = (input costs of the process) ÷ (barrels produced).
Profit = selling price − cost.
Premium sells for more ($280 vs $250) but costs much more to make. Compare profits, not prices.
Answer · (i)
Regular profit dollars/barrel; premium 100 dollars/barrel.
Regular petrol
Process 1 spends dollars of input to make 12 barrels.
Premium petrol
Process 2 spends dollars of input to make 10 barrels.
Compare
Regular petrol earns about $18.33 more per barrel.
Pricing
What should be the new price of premium petrol to ensure that selling it is equally profitable compared to selling regular petrol?
Hint
Set the new profit on premium equal to and solve for the price.
The old price is 280, so the rise is , but the equation gives the new price directly.
Answer · (ii)
dollars/barrel.
Equal profit
The cost per barrel of premium is 180.
Solve
Add 180 to both sides.
Interpreting a model
Explain whether the company will adopt Simon's suggestion of a price adjustment.
Hint
What could happen to customers if premium petrol costs about 6.5% more?
A model gives equal profit per barrel, but it does not model demand.
Equal profit per barrel only matters if the same number of barrels can still be sold at the new price.
Answer · (iii)
No: the higher price may drive customers to other brands and reduce revenue.
What the model ignores
Raising the price from 280 to about 298 is a rise of roughly 6.5%. The calculation assumes the same quantity will still be sold.
Likely effect
A higher price may drive customers to other brands, so fewer barrels may be sold and revenue could fall, even though profit per barrel rises.