Probability and conditional information
Practice section 4 of 8
Questions 19–24 in this collection
Practice questions
Worked example · 1 of 6
Use order counts instead of expanding every draw path
A box contains 5 white balls,3 red balls and 2 green balls.
(i) Three balls are taken at random with replacement. Find the probability that they all have different colours.
(ii) Five balls are taken at random without replacement. Find the probability that (a) exactly 2 are white, (b) at least 2 are white, (c) exactly 2 are red, given that at least 2 are white.
[SP2006/II/6]
CJC · Lecture · Example 10
Solution
Worked example · 2 of 6
Sum the chances of winning on successive rounds
Three people A,B,C roll a fair die for a prize. The first person to roll 6 wins. Each round proceeds A, B, C and repeats until someone wins. Find the probability that (i) A wins on the first throw, (ii) C wins on the first attempt, (iii) no one wins in a round, (iv) A wins.
CJC · Lecture · Example 11
Solution
Worked example · 3 of 6
Find the least dart count for a strict probability target
In darts, a player has probability 0.4 of hitting treble twenty with one dart. How many throws are necessary so that the probability of hitting treble twenty at least once exceeds 0.9?
CJC · Lecture · Example 12
Solution
Discussion practice · 4 of 6
Two throws: ordered outcomes and conditioning
In a game, an ordinary fair die is thrown twice and the number that appears on each throw is noted. Find the probability that
(i) both numbers are ‘6’,
(ii) neither number is a ‘5’,
(iii) one number is ‘6’ and the other is ‘5’,
(iv) the sum of the numbers is 6,
(v) the first number is less than the second given that the sum of the two numbers is 6.
CJC · Discussion · Question 1
Solution
Discussion practice · 5 of 6
Recover a marginal probability from a conditional one
Events A and B satisfy , and . Find
(i) ,
(ii) ,
(iii) ,
(iv) .
State, with reasons, whether A and B are independent or mutually exclusive.
CJC · Discussion · Question 2
Solution
Discussion practice · 6 of 6
Use the same equally likely four-person selections throughout
Four persons are chosen at random from ten persons consisting of four men and six women. Three of the women are sisters. Calculate the probability that the four persons chosen will
(i) consist of four women,
(ii) consist of two women and two men,
(iii) include the three sisters.
CJC · Discussion · Question 3