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Probability and conditional information

Practice section 4 of 8

Questions 19–24 in this collection

Practice questions

Worked example · 1 of 6

Use order counts instead of expanding every draw path

A box contains 5 white balls,3 red balls and 2 green balls.

(i) Three balls are taken at random with replacement. Find the probability that they all have different colours.

(ii) Five balls are taken at random without replacement. Find the probability that (a) exactly 2 are white, (b) at least 2 are white, (c) exactly 2 are red, given that at least 2 are white.

[SP2006/II/6]

CJC · Lecture · Example 10

Solution

Discussion practice · 4 of 6

Two throws: ordered outcomes and conditioning

In a game, an ordinary fair die is thrown twice and the number that appears on each throw is noted. Find the probability that

(i) both numbers are ‘6’,

(ii) neither number is a ‘5’,

(iii) one number is ‘6’ and the other is ‘5’,

(iv) the sum of the numbers is 6,

(v) the first number is less than the second given that the sum of the two numbers is 6.

CJC · Discussion · Question 1

Solution

Discussion practice · 5 of 6

Recover a marginal probability from a conditional one

Events A and B satisfy P(A)=5/12P(A)=5/12, P(A∣B′)=7/12P(A\mid B')=7/12 and P(A∩B)=1/8P(A\cap B)=1/8. Find

(i) P(B)P(B),

(ii) P(A∣B)P(A\mid B),

(iii) P(B∣A)P(B\mid A),

(iv) P(A∪B)P(A\cup B).

State, with reasons, whether A and B are independent or mutually exclusive.

CJC · Discussion · Question 2

Solution

Discussion practice · 6 of 6

Use the same equally likely four-person selections throughout

Four persons are chosen at random from ten persons consisting of four men and six women. Three of the women are sisters. Calculate the probability that the four persons chosen will

(i) consist of four women,

(ii) consist of two women and two men,

(iii) include the three sisters.

CJC · Discussion · Question 3

Solution

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