A declining species and an increasing logistic species

On a mangrove swamp, scientists are investigating the population of mudskippers and crabs. Initially, there are 800 mudskippers and 800 crabs on the mangrove swamp. At time tt years, the number of mudskippers and crabs are M,CM,C respectively.

(a) For the mudskippers, the scientists discovers that every year, the growth rate is 0.4% of the population size and the death rate is 5 mudskippers per year.

(i) Write down a differential equation relating M,tM,t. mark

(ii) Solve the differential equation in part (i) and determine what happens to the mudskipper population in the future. marks

(b) For the crabs, the scientists propose that C,tC,t are related by the differential equation dCdt=8C−0.005C2\frac{dC}{dt}=8C-0.005C^2.

(i) Find the number of crabs in the mangrove swamp when the rate of change of CC is a maximum. marks

(ii) Find CC in terms of tt. Sketch a graph of CC against tt. marks

[2021/TJC/Prelim/I/10]

Total marks: 12

Solution

If this part uses an earlier result, revisit (b)(i) Maximum growth rate or open all working together.

(b)(ii)

Logistic solution

Find CC in terms of tt (with C=800C=800 initially) and sketch it.

Explore this idea

Hint

  1. dCdt=0.005C(1600−C)\frac{dC}{dt}=0.005C(1600-C).

  2. Partial fractions.

Crab population
Crab populationScroll across to see the full diagram.

Answer · (b)(ii)

C=1600/(1+e−8t)C=1600/(1+e^{-8t}); rises from 800 toward 1600, concave down for t>0t>0.

Explore the idea

Open interactive exploration

The crabs

Each dash shows the slope the differential equation gives at that point. Change the starting value and the solution follows the dashes.

Starting value of C at t = 0800
Read the solution at t0.3
Try an example
C at t = 0.3
1467
Rate dC/dt there
976.205
  • Solution that starts at the purple dot
  • Closed-form answer
Key idea

The full logistic family is S-shaped. From the given starting value 800, the physical curve for t≥0t\ge0 begins at the inflection and is concave down as it approaches 1600.

Ideas to try
  1. Start at 400 or 1200: the curve moves towards 1600.
  2. Is the growth faster below or above 800?